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Big 5 Europe

La Liga

Every fixture in the La Liga run through the same expected-goals framework, week after week.

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La Liga Previews

No previews live yet for this competition — check back once the next round of fixtures is confirmed, or see all upcoming fixtures in the meantime.

Recent La Liga Results & Verdicts

Regular Season - 7
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
Sun 20 Sep · 15:15 BST · Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Under 2.5 goals 42.3%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Getafe vs Malaga
Sun 20 Sep · 13:00 BST · Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Getafe to win 53.0%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Villarreal vs Levante
Sun 20 Sep · 17:30 BST · Estadio de la Cerámica
Over 2.5 goals 65.0%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis
Sun 20 Sep · 17:30 BST · Estadio de Riazor
Deportivo La Coruna to win 49.3%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Valencia vs Real Sociedad
Sun 20 Sep · 20:00 BST · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia to win 38.1%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
Sat 19 Sep · 13:00 BST · Estadio El Sadar
Rayo Vallecano to win 62.7%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Athletic Club vs Alaves
Sat 19 Sep · 15:15 BST
Both teams to score - Yes 51.7%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander
Sat 19 Sep · 17:30 BST
Both teams to score - No 68.2%
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Regular Season - 7
Sevilla vs Barcelona
Sat 19 Sep · 20:00 BST
Over 2.5 goals 88.2%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 7
Espanyol vs Elche
Fri 18 Sep · 20:00 BST · RCDE Stadium
Match to end in a draw 23.3%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 6
Real Betis vs Getafe
Thu 17 Sep · 18:00 BST · Estadio de La Cartuja
Getafe to win 44.8%
See verdict →
Regular Season - 6
Malaga vs Villarreal
Thu 17 Sep · 20:30 BST · Estadio La Rosaleda
Under 2.5 goals 73.1%
See verdict →

About La Liga Coverage

La Liga is a two-speed league — Madrid and Barcelona hoovering up headlines at the top, and a mid-table that's genuinely hard to call most weekends. That gap between narrative and the underlying numbers is where the model does its best work.